momeq2s.bib


@INCOLLECTION{vanb00,
  AUTHOR = {Minus van Baalen},
  TITLE = {Pair Approximations for Different Spatial Geometries},
  CROSSREF = {DLM00},
  PAGES = {359-387},
  CHAPTER = {19}
}


@INCOLLECTION{Law+01,
  AUTHOR = {R. Law and D. W. Purves. and D. J. Murrell and U. Dieckmann},
  TITLE = {Causes and
effects of small-scale spatial structure in plant populations},
  BOOKTITLE = {Integrating Ecology and Evolution in a Spatial
Context},
  PAGES = {21-44},
  PUBLISHER = {Blackwell Science},
  YEAR = {2001},
  EDITOR = {J. Silvertown and J. Antonovics},
  ADDRESS = {Oxford, UK},
  ABSTRACT = {This chapter is a slightly more gentle introduction to moment dynamics and
the importance of considering local interactions for plant populations and
communities}
}


@ARTICLE{vanbrand98,
  AUTHOR = {van Baalen, M. and D. A. Rand},
  TITLE = {The unit of selection in viscous populations and the
		  evolution of altruism},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Theoretical Biology},
  VOLUME = {193},
  NUMBER = {4},
  PAGES = {631-648},
  YEAR = {1998}
}


@ARTICLE{bol99,
  AUTHOR = {Benjamin M. Bolker},
  TITLE = {Analytic Models for the Patchy Spread of Plant Disease},
  JOURNAL = {Bulletin of Mathematical Biology},
  VOLUME = 61,
  PAGES = {849-874},
  YEAR = 1999,
  ABSTRACT = {Basic application of spatial moment closure (power-1) to
   dynamics of a simple epidemic.  Considers the covariance dynamics in
   a Poisson-distributed and aggregated host populations, and looks
   briefly at epidemics with removal/recovery.}
}


@ARTICLE{bolkpaca97,
  AUTHOR = {B. M. Bolker and S. W. Pacala},
  TITLE = {Using moment equations to understand stochastically driven
		  spatial pattern formation in ecological systems},
  JOURNAL = {Theoretical Population Biology},
  VOLUME = {52},
  PAGES = {179-197},
  YEAR = 1997,
  ABSTRACT = {Spatial moment equations (power-1 closure) for the spatial
   logistic model, one-species competition.  Analytical methods for
   solving for equilibrium are presented (but these methods are somewhat
   clumsy, and are superseded
   by those in Bolker and Pacala 1999).  Predicts when equilibrium
   population patterns will be even vs. aggregated.}
}


@ARTICLE{bp98,
  AUTHOR = {B. M. Bolker and S. W. Pacala},
  TITLE = {Spatial moment equations for plant competition:
		  understanding spatial strategies and the advantages of
		  short dispersal},
  JOURNAL = {American Naturalist},
  VOLUME = {153},
  PAGES = {575-602},
  YEAR = 1999,
  ABSTRACT = {Analyzes the "spatial Lotka-Volterra model": two-species
    competition in a point process model.  Decomposes spatial covariances
    into a series of terms that affect competitive invasion, attributing
    different terms to competition-colonization tradeoffs, successional
    niches, or phalanx growth.  Uses power-1 closure and Bessel-function
    competition and dispersal kernels to get analytically tractable
    invasion criteria.  (However, power-1 closure means that 
    invasion criteria only act sensibly when the invader would lose
    in the non-spatial case.)}
}


@INPROCEEDINGS{bpl97,
  AUTHOR = {Benjamin M. Bolker and Stephen W. Pacala and Simon A.
		  Levin},
  TITLE = {Moment methods for stochastic processes in continuous
		  space and time},
  BOOKTITLE = {The Geometry of Ecological Interactions: Simplifying
		  Spatial Complexity},
  EDITOR = {U. Dieckmann and R. Law and J. A. J. Metz},
  PAGES = {388-411},
  PUBLISHER = {Cambridge University Press},
  YEAR = 2000
}


@ARTICLE{cdg+01,
  AUTHOR = {T. Caraco and M. C. Duryea and S. Glavanakov and W.
		  Maniatty and B. K. Szymanski},
  TITLE = {Host spatial heterogeneity and the spread of vector-borne
		  infection},
  JOURNAL = {Theoretical Population Biology},
  VOLUME = {59},
  NUMBER = {3},
  PAGES = {185-206},
  YEAR = {2001}
}


@INCOLLECTION{diecklaw00b,
  AUTHOR = {Ulf Dieckmann and Richard Law},
  TITLE = {Relaxation Projections and the Method of Moments},
  CROSSREF = {DLM00},
  PAGES = {412-455},
  CHAPTER = {21}
}


@BOOK{dlm00,
  EDITOR = {Ulf Dieckmann and Richard Law and Johan A. J. Metz},
  TITLE = {The Geometry of Ecological Interactions: Simplifying
		  Spatial Complexity},
  PUBLISHER = {Cambridge University Press},
  YEAR = {2000},
  SERIES = {Cambridge Studies in Adaptive Dynamics},
  ADDRESS = {Cambridge, UK}
}


@ARTICLE{dow99,
  AUTHOR = {U. Dieckmann and B. O'Hara and W. Weisser},
  TITLE = {The evolutionary ecology of dispersal},
  JOURNAL = {Trends in Ecology \& Evolution},
  VOLUME = {14},
  NUMBER = {3},
  PAGES = {88-90},
  YEAR = {1999}
}


@ARTICLE{dush98,
  AUTHOR = {Jonathan Dushoff},
  TITLE = {Host Heterogeneity and Disease Endemicity: A Moment-Based
		  Approach},
  JOURNAL = {Theoretical Population Biology},
  VOLUME = 56,
  PAGES = {325-335},
  YEAR = {1999},
  ABSTRACT = {non-spatial moment closure for the dynamics of the
		  distribution of host susceptibility. Incorporates a
		  particularly clever "scaled closure" that interpolates
		  between invasion-phase and equilibrium-phase statistics}
}


@ARTICLE{elln01,
  AUTHOR = {S. P. Ellner},
  TITLE = {Pair approximation for lattice models with multiple
		  interaction scales},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Theoretical Biology},
  VOLUME = {210},
  NUMBER = {4},
  PAGES = {435-447},
  MONTH = {jun 21},
  YEAR = {2001}
}


@ARTICLE{ellner98,
  AUTHOR = {Stephen P. Ellner and Akira Sasaki and Yoshihiro Haraguchi
		  and Hirotsugu Matsuda},
  TITLE = {Speed of invasion in lattice population models: pair-edge
		  approximation},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Mathematical Biology},
  VOLUME = {36},
  NUMBER = {5},
  PAGES = {469-484},
  YEAR = 1998
}


@ARTICLE{fili99,
  AUTHOR = {J. A. N. Filipe},
  TITLE = {Hybrid closure-approximation to epidemic models},
  JOURNAL = {Physica A},
  VOLUME = {266},
  NUMBER = {1-4},
  PAGES = {238-241},
  YEAR = {1999},
  ABSTRACT = {A hybrid approximation method that elaborates on the
		  common pair approximation is proposed and shown to give
		  very accurate predictions for the order parameter (epidemic
		  size) over the whole parameter-space, including the
		  critical region.}
}


@ARTICLE{filigibs01,
  AUTHOR = {J. A. N. Filipe and G. J. Gibson},
  TITLE = {Comparing approximations to spatio-temporal models for
		  epidemics with local spread},
  JOURNAL = {Bulletin of Mathematical Biology},
  VOLUME = {63},
  NUMBER = {4},
  PAGES = {603-624},
  MONTH = JUL,
  YEAR = {2001},
  ABSTRACT = {Here we review and report recent progress on closure
		  approximations applicable to lattice models with
		  nearest-neighbour interactions, including cluster
		  approximations and elaborations on the pair (or pairwise)
		  approximation. (SIS model) A hybrid pairwise approximation
		  is shown to provide the best predictions of transient and
		  long-term, stationary behaviour over the whole parameter
		  range of the model.}
}


@ARTICLE{filigibs98,
  AUTHOR = {J. A. N. Filipe and G. J. Gibson},
  TITLE = {Studying and approximating spatio-temporal models for
		  epidemic spread and control},
  JOURNAL = {Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London
		  Series B-biological Sciences},
  VOLUME = {353},
  NUMBER = {1378},
  PAGES = {2153-2162},
  MONTH = {dec 29},
  YEAR = {1998},
  ABSTRACT = {A class of simple spatio-temporal stochastic models for
		  the spread and control of plant disease is investigated. We
		  consider a lattice-based susceptible-infected model in
		  which the infection of a host occurs through two distinct
		  processes: a background infective challenge representing
		  primary infection from external sources, and a short-range
		  :interaction representing the secondary infection of
		  susceptibles by infectives within the population. Recent
		  data-modelling studies have suggested that the above model
		  may describe the spread of aphid-borne virus diseases in
		  orchards. In addition, we extend the model to represent the
		  effects of different control strategies involving
		  replantation (or recovery). The Contact Process is a
		  particular case of this model. The behaviour of the model
		  has been studied using cellular-automata simulations. An
		  alternative approach is to formulate a set of deterministic
		  differential equations that captures the essential dynamics
		  of the stochastic system. Approximate solutions to this set
		  of equations, describing the time evolution over the whole
		  parameter range, have been obtained using the pairwise
		  approximation (PA) as well as the most commonly used
		  mean-field approximation (MF). Comparison with simulation
		  results shows that PA is significantly superior to MF,
		  predicting accurately both transient and long-run,
		  stationary behaviour over relevant parts of the parameter
		  space. The conditions for the validity of the
		  approximations to the present model and extensions thereof
		  are discussed.}
}


@ARTICLE{glo00,
  AUTHOR = {A. Gandhi and S. Levin and S. Orszag},
  TITLE = {Moment expansions in spatial ecological models and moment
		  closure through gaussian approximation},
  JOURNAL = {Bulletin of Mathematical Biology},
  VOLUME = {62},
  NUMBER = {4},
  PAGES = {595-632},
  MONTH = JUL,
  YEAR = {2000}
}


@ARTICLE{hei+95,
  AUTHOR = {Y. Harada and H. Ezoe and Y. Iwasa and H. Matsuda and K.
		  Sato},
  TITLE = {Population persistence and spatially limited
		  social-interaction},
  JOURNAL = {Theoretical Population Biology},
  VOLUME = {48},
  NUMBER = {1},
  PAGES = {65-91},
  MONTH = AUG,
  YEAR = {1995}
}


@ARTICLE{haraiwas94,
  AUTHOR = {Yuko Harada and Yoh Iwasa},
  TITLE = {Lattice Population Dynamics for Plants with Dispersing
		  Seeds and Vegetative Propagation},
  JOURNAL = {Researches on Population Ecology},
  YEAR = {1994},
  VOLUME = {36},
  NUMBER = {2},
  PAGES = {237-249}
}


@ARTICLE{haraiwas96,
  AUTHOR = {Y. Harada and Y. Iwasa},
  TITLE = {Analyses of spatial patterns and population processes of
		  clonal plants},
  JOURNAL = {Researches On Population Ecology},
  VOLUME = {38},
  NUMBER = {2},
  PAGES = {153-164},
  MONTH = DEC,
  YEAR = {1996}
}


@ARTICLE{harasasa00,
  AUTHOR = {Y. Haraguchi and A. Sasaki},
  TITLE = {The evolution of parasite virulence and transmission rate
		  in a spatially structured population},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Theoretical Biology},
  VOLUME = {203},
  NUMBER = {2},
  PAGES = {85-96},
  MONTH = {mar 21},
  YEAR = {2000}
}


@ARTICLE{hieb00,
  AUTHOR = {D. Hiebeler},
  TITLE = {Populations on fragmented landscapes with spatially
		  structured heterogeneities: landscape generation and local
		  dispersal},
  JOURNAL = {Ecology},
  VOLUME = {81},
  NUMBER = {6},
  PAGES = {1629-1641},
  MONTH = JUN,
  YEAR = {2000}
}


@ARTICLE{hieb97,
  AUTHOR = {D. Hiebeler},
  TITLE = {Stochastic spatial models: from simulations to mean field
		  and local structure approximations},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Theoretical Biology},
  VOLUME = {187},
  NUMBER = {3},
  PAGES = {307-319},
  MONTH = {aug 7},
  YEAR = {1997}
}


@INCOLLECTION{iwas00,
  AUTHOR = {Yoh Iwasa},
  TITLE = {Lattice Models and Pair Approximation in Ecology},
  CROSSREF = {DLM00},
  PAGES = {227-251},
  CHAPTER = {13}
}


@ARTICLE{inl98,
  AUTHOR = {Y. Iwasa and M. Nakamaru and S. A. Levin},
  TITLE = {Allelopathy of bacteria in a lattice population:
		  competition between colicin-sensitive and colicin-producing
		  strains},
  JOURNAL = {Evolutionary Ecology},
  VOLUME = {12},
  NUMBER = {7},
  PAGES = {785-802},
  MONTH = OCT,
  YEAR = {1998}
}


@INCOLLECTION{keel00c,
  AUTHOR = {Matthew J. Keeling},
  TITLE = {Evolutionary Dynamics in Spatial Host-Parasite Systems},
  CROSSREF = {DLM00},
  PAGES = {271-291},
  CHAPTER = {15}
}


@ARTICLE{keel00,
  AUTHOR = {M. J. Keeling},
  TITLE = {Metapopulation moments: coupling, stochasticity and
		  persistence},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Animal Ecology},
  VOLUME = {69},
  NUMBER = {5},
  PAGES = {725-736},
  MONTH = SEP,
  YEAR = {2000}
}


@ARTICLE{keel00b,
  AUTHOR = {M. J. Keeling},
  TITLE = {Multiplicative moments and measures of persistence in
		  ecology},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Theoretical Biology},
  VOLUME = {205},
  NUMBER = {2},
  PAGES = {269-281},
  MONTH = {jul 21},
  YEAR = {2000}
}


@ARTICLE{keel99,
  AUTHOR = {M. J. Keeling},
  TITLE = {Correlation equations for endemic diseases: externally
		  imposed and internally generated heterogeneity},
  JOURNAL = {Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B},
  VOLUME = {266},
  NUMBER = {1422},
  PAGES = {953-960},
  YEAR = 1999
}


@ARTICLE{krm97,
  AUTHOR = {M. J. Keeling and D. A. Rand and A. J. Morris},
  TITLE = {Correlation models for childhood epidemics},
  JOURNAL = {Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B},
  YEAR = {1997},
  VOLUME = {264},
  PAGES = {1149-1156}
}


@ARTICLE{kif96,
  AUTHOR = {T. Kubo and Y. Iwasa and N. Furumoto},
  TITLE = {Forest spatial dynamics with gap expansion: total gap area
		  and gap size distribution},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Theoretical Biology},
  VOLUME = {180},
  NUMBER = {3},
  PAGES = {18},
  YEAR = {1996}
}


@INCOLLECTION{lawdiec00,
  AUTHOR = {Richard Law and Ulf Dieckmann},
  TITLE = {Moment Approximations of Individual-Based Models},
  CROSSREF = {DLM00},
  PAGES = {252-270},
  CHAPTER = {14}
}


@ARTICLE{lawdiec00b,
  AUTHOR = {R. Law and U. Dieckmann},
  TITLE = {A dynamical system for neighborhoods in plant communities},
  JOURNAL = {Ecology},
  VOLUME = {81},
  NUMBER = {8},
  PAGES = {2137-2148},
  MONTH = AUG,
  YEAR = {2000}
}


@INCOLLECTION{levipaca96,
  AUTHOR = {S.A. Levin and S.W. Pacala},
  TITLE = {Theories of simplification and scaling in ecological
		  systems},
  BOOKTITLE = {Spatial Ecology: The Role of Space in Population Dynamics
		  and Interspecific Interactions},
  PUBLISHER = {Princeton University Press},
  YEAR = {1998},
  EDITOR = {D. Tilman and P. Kareiva},
  ADDRESS = {Princeton, NJ}
}


@ARTICLE{lewi00,
  AUTHOR = {M. A. Lewis},
  TITLE = {Spread rate for a nonlinear stochastic invasion},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Mathematical Biology},
  VOLUME = {41},
  NUMBER = {5},
  PAGES = {430-454},
  MONTH = NOV,
  YEAR = {2000}
}


@ARTICLE{lewipaca00,
  AUTHOR = {M. A. Lewis and S. Pacala},
  TITLE = {Modeling and analysis of stochastic invasion processes},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Mathematical Biology},
  VOLUME = {41},
  NUMBER = {5},
  PAGES = {387-429},
  MONTH = NOV,
  YEAR = {2000}
}


@ARTICLE{mats+92,
  AUTHOR = {Hirotsuga Matsuda and Naofumi Ogita and Akira Sasaki and
		  Kazunori Sat\=o},
  TITLE = {Statistical Mechanics of Population: The Lattice
		  {Lotka-Volterra} Model},
  JOURNAL = {Progress of Theoretical Physics},
  YEAR = {1992},
  VOLUME = {88},
  NUMBER = {6},
  PAGES = {1035-1049}
}


@INPROCEEDINGS{lin97,
  AUTHOR = {Ryan McAllister and Juan Lin and Benjamin Bolker and
		  Stephen W. Pacala},
  TITLE = {Spatial correlations in population models with competition
		  and dispersal},
  BOOKTITLE = {Proceedings of the Symposium on Biological Complexity},
  YEAR = {to appear},
  ADDRESS = {Montevideo, Uruguay},
  MONTH = {Dec. 12-14, 1995}
}


@ARTICLE{murrlaw00,
  AUTHOR = {D. J. Murrell and R. Law},
  TITLE = {Beetles in fragmented woodlands: a formal framework for
		  dynamics of movement in ecological landscapes},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Animal Ecology},
  VOLUME = {69},
  NUMBER = {3},
  PAGES = {471-483},
  MONTH = MAY,
  YEAR = {2000},
  ABSTRACT = {This paper uses a moment approximation
to an individual-based model of animals moving through a heterogeneous
landscape taken from a satellite image of the UK. Note that the moment
closure used here works only when the first moments (population densities)
have no dynamics; i.e. when only the spatial structure of the population
changes. }
}


@ARTICLE{BootSasa99,
  AUTHOR = {M. Boots and A. Sasaki},
  TITLE = {'Small worlds' and the evolution of virulence:
infection occurs locally and at a distance},
  JOURNAL = { Proceedings of the Royal Society
of London, Series B},
  YEAR = {1999},
  VOLUME = { 266},
  PAGES = { 1933-1938},
  ABSTRACT = {Uses the pairwise approach
to look at the effects of long range (global) dispersal and short range
dispersal on the evolutionary dynamics of infectious diseases}
}


@ARTICLE{nmi97,
  AUTHOR = {M. Nakamaru and H. Matsuda and Y. Iwasa},
  TITLE = {The evolution of cooperation in a lattice-structured
		  population},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Theoretical Biology},
  VOLUME = {184},
  NUMBER = {1},
  PAGES = {65-81},
  MONTH = {jan 7},
  YEAR = {1997}
}


@INCOLLECTION{pacalevi96,
  AUTHOR = {S.W. Pacala and S.A. Levin},
  TITLE = {Biologically generated spatial pattern and the coexistence
		  of competing species},
  BOOKTITLE = {Spatial Ecology: The Role of Space in Population Dynamics
		  and Interspecific Interactions},
  PUBLISHER = {Princeton University Press},
  CHAPTER = {9},
  PAGES = {204-232},
  YEAR = {1998},
  EDITOR = {D. Tilman and P. Kareiva},
  ADDRESS = {Princeton, NJ}
}


@INCOLLECTION{rand98,
  AUTHOR = {D. A. Rand},
  EDITOR = {J. McGlade},
  TITLE = {Correlation equations and pair approximations for spatial
		  ecologies},
  BOOKTITLE = {Theoretical Ecology 2},
  PUBLISHER = {Blackwell},
  YEAR = {1999}
}


@INCOLLECTION{satoiwas00,
  AUTHOR = {Kazunori Sat{\=o} and Yoh Iwasa},
  TITLE = {Pair Approximations for Lattice-based Ecological Models},
  CROSSREF = {DLM00},
  PAGES = {341-358},
  CHAPTER = {18}
}


@ARTICLE{sms94,
  AUTHOR = {K. Sato and H. Matsuda and A. Sasaki},
  TITLE = {Pathogen invasion and host extinction in lattice
		  structured populations},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Mathematical Biology},
  VOLUME = {32},
  NUMBER = {3},
  PAGES = {251-268},
  MONTH = FEB,
  YEAR = {1994}
}


@ARTICLE{sato+94,
  AUTHOR = {Kazunori Sat\=o and Hirotsugu Matsuda and Akira Sasaki},
  TITLE = {Pathogen invasion and host extinction in lattice
		  structured populations},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Mathematical Biology},
  YEAR = {1994},
  VOLUME = {32},
  PAGES = {251-268}
}


@ARTICLE{snydnisb00,
  AUTHOR = {Robin E. Snyder and Roger M. Nisbet},
  TITLE = {Spatial structure and fluctuations in the contact process and related
    models},
  JOURNAL = {Bulletin of Mathematical Biology},
  YEAR = {2000},
  VOLUME = 62,
  NUMBER = 5,
  PAGES = {959-975},
  ABSTRACT = {The contact process is used as a simple spatial model in many
      disciplines, yet because of the buildup of spatial correlations, its
      dynamics remain difficult to capture analytically. We introduce an
      empirically based, approximate method of characterizing the spatial
      correlations with only a single adjustable parameter. This approximation
      allows us to recast the contact process in terms of a stochastic
      birth-death process, converting a spatiotemporal problem into a simpler
      temporal one. We obtain considerably more accurate predictions of
      equilibrium population than those given by pair approximations, as well
      as good predictions of population variance and first passage time
      distributions to a given (low) threshold. A similar approach is
      applicable to any model with a combination of global and nearest-neighbor
      interactions.}
}


@ARTICLE{tain88,
  AUTHOR = {Kei{-}ichi Tainaka},
  TITLE = {Lattice Model for the {Lotka-Volterra} System},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of the Physical Society of Japan},
  YEAR = {1988},
  VOLUME = {57},
  NUMBER = {88},
  PAGES = {2588-2590}
}


@ARTICLE{tain94,
  AUTHOR = {Kei-ichi Tainaka},
  TITLE = {Vortices and strings in a model ecosystem},
  JOURNAL = {Physical Review E},
  YEAR = {1994},
  VOLUME = {50},
  NUMBER = {5},
  PAGES = {3401-3409}
}


@ARTICLE{tmi97,
  AUTHOR = {Y. Takenaka and H. Matsuda and Y. Iwasa},
  TITLE = {Competition and evolutionary stability of plants in a
		  spatially structured habitat},
  JOURNAL = {Researches On Population Ecology},
  VOLUME = {39},
  NUMBER = {1},
  PAGES = {67-75},
  MONTH = JUN,
  YEAR = {1997}
}


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